Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

← back to chart · 2026 draftigamis

OT·pick 78

FIRST OT IN OUR WINDOW AT #78

Jeff Hatch

Drafted by NYG , GM Ernie Accorsi · Pennsylvania

2002 · round 3

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OT grouping.

2
OTs drafted at #78 in NFL history
most recent: Wade Smith (MIA, 2003)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a offensive tackle at #78 a 5.4% chance in 2002.

Offensive tackle at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.7% 2002: 5.4%

Peak: 11.7% · 2027 model: 4.1%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart