Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 100

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #100

Randy Mattingly

Drafted by CLE · Evansville

1973 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

4
QBs drafted at #100 in NFL history
most recent: Will Grier (CAR, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a quarterback at #100 a 4.3% chance in 1973.

Quarterback at #100, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.6% 1973: 4.3%

Peak: 5.6% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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