QB · pick 102, First QB at #102 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1989)

QB·pick 102

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #102

Jeff Carlson

Drafted by LAR , GM John Shaw · Weber St.

1989 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #102 in NFL history

most recent: Kirk Cousins (WAS, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a quarterback at #102 a 4.1% chance in 1989.

Quarterback at #102, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

#97DEJake McCulloughDEN , GM John Beake
#98DERon StallworthNYJ , GM Dick Steinberg
#99OGPat TomberlinIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#100WRMichael TimpsonNE , GM Patrick Sullivan
#101TETravis McNealSEA , GM Tom Flores/Behring
#103CBJames HenrySEA , GM Tom Flores/Behring
#104WRRod HarrisTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#105DEBrad HenkeNYG , GM George Young
#106CBMichael MayesNO , GM Jim Finks
#107DEAndrew StewartCLE , GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2012Kirk CousinsWAS , GM Bruce Allen · Michigan St.
1992Casey WeldonPHI , GM Harry Gamble · Florida St.

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