QB · pick 106, First QB at #106 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1991)

QB·pick 106

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #106

Bill Musgrave

Drafted by DAL , GM Jerry Jones · Oregon

1991 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #106 in NFL history

most recent: Kyle Orton (CHI, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a quarterback at #106 a 4.5% chance in 1991.

Quarterback at #106, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 3.9%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

#101DTDavid RockerTEN , GM Mike Holovak
#102SMarcus RobertsonTEN , GM Mike Holovak
#103TEAdrian CooperPIT , GM Tom Donahoe
#104LBWilliam ThomasPHI , GM Harry Gamble
#105CBJoe JohnsonCHI , GM Bill Tobin
#107CBRobert BaileyLAR , GM John Shaw
#108DETony HillDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#109WRRob CarpenterCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#110DEKevin HarrisDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#111OTClarence JonesNYG , GM George Young

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2005Kyle OrtonCHI , GM Jerry Angelo · Purdue
2004Luke McCownCLE , GM Butch Davis · Louisiana Tech
2001Chris WeinkeCAR , GM Dom Anile · Florida St.

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