Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 120

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #120

Logan Thomas

Drafted by ARI , GM Steve Keim · Virginia Tech

2014 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2013, the model gave a quarterback at #120 a 3.8% chance in 2014.

Quarterback at #120, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.3% 2014: 3.8%

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 2014 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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