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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 121

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #121

Cliff Stoudt

Drafted by PIT · Youngstown State

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

2
QBs drafted at #121 in NFL history
most recent: Stefan Lefors (CAR, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a quarterback at #121 a 4.6% chance in 1977.

Quarterback at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.6% 1977: 4.6%

Peak: 5.6% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart