Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 125

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #125

Jesse Palmer

Drafted by NYG , GM Ernie Accorsi · Florida

2001 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

2
QBs drafted at #125 in NFL history
most recent: James Morgan (NYJ, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2000, the model gave a quarterback at #125 a 3.7% chance in 2001.

Quarterback at #125, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.3% 2001: 3.7%

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 2001 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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