Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 131

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #131

Rob Hertel

Drafted by CIN · USC

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

3
QBs drafted at #131 in NFL history
most recent: Aaron Brooks (GB, 1999)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a quarterback at #131 a 4.8% chance in 1978.

Quarterback at #131, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.5% 1978: 4.8%

Peak: 5.5% · 2027 model: 3.6%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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