Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 14

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #14

John Reaves

Drafted by PHI · Florida

1972 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

2
QBs drafted at #14 in NFL history
most recent: Jim Kelly (BUF, 1983)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a quarterback at #14 a 6.8% chance in 1972.

Quarterback at #14, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.5% 1972: 6.8%

Peak: 8.5% · 2027 model: 6.1%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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