Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 149

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #149

Mike Kelley

Drafted by ATL , GM Eddie LeBaron · Georgia Tech

1982 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

4
QBs drafted at #149 in NFL history
most recent: Sean Clifford (GB, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a quarterback at #149 a 4.3% chance in 1982.

Quarterback at #149, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.4% 1982: 4.3%

Peak: 5.4% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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