Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 15

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #15

Marc Wilson

Drafted by LV , GM Al Davis · BYU

1980 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

4
QBs drafted at #15 in NFL history
most recent: Mac Jones (NE, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a quarterback at #15 a 5.3% chance in 1980.

Quarterback at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.4% 1980: 5.3%

Peak: 8.4% · 2027 model: 6.2%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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