Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 151

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #151

Cilek, MikeMike Cilek

Drafted by CLE · Iowa

1970 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

5
QBs drafted at #151 in NFL history
most recent: Rhett Bomar (NYG, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a quarterback at #151 a 4.3% chance in 1970.

Quarterback at #151, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.7% 1970: 4.3%

Peak: 5.7% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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