Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 152

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #152

Adrian McPherson

Drafted by NO , GM Mickey Loomis · Florida St.

2005 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

2
QBs drafted at #152 in NFL history
most recent: T.J. Yates (HOU, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a quarterback at #152 a 4.4% chance in 2005.

Quarterback at #152, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.3% 2005: 4.4%

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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