QB · pick 153, First QB at #153 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1984)

QB·pick 153

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #153

Randy Wright

Drafted by GB , GM Forrest Gregg · Wisconsin

1984 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a quarterback at #153 a 3.9% chance in 1984.

Quarterback at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#148QBBen BennettATL , GM Tom Braatz
#149RBTony PaigeNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#150TEDon KernCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#151CBErnest GibsonNE , GM Patrick Sullivan
#152LBEugene LockhartDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#154WRDwight CollinsMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#155CTony SlatonBUF , GM Stew Barber
#156DTDon ThorpNO , GM Ken Meyer/staff
#157LBRod ClarkARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#158QBTerry NugentCLE , GM Art Modell/staff

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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