Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 154

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #154

Mike Moroski

Drafted by ATL · UC Davis

1979 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

2
QBs drafted at #154 in NFL history
most recent: Mike Machurek (DET, 1982)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a quarterback at #154 a 4.8% chance in 1979.

Quarterback at #154, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.3% 1979: 4.8%

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 3.6%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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