QB · pick 158, First QB at #158 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1984)

QB·pick 158

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #158

Terry Nugent

Drafted by CLE , GM Art Modell/staff · Colorado St.

1984 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #158 in NFL history

most recent: Kurt Kittner (ATL, 2002)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a quarterback at #158 a 3.9% chance in 1984.

Quarterback at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#153QBRandy WrightGB , GM Forrest Gregg
#154WRDwight CollinsMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#155CTony SlatonBUF , GM Stew Barber
#156DTDon ThorpNO , GM Ken Meyer/staff
#157LBRod ClarkARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#159LBAaron SmithDEN , GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#160QBJohn WitkowskiDET , GM Russ Thomas
#161WREric MullinsTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#162LBJohn KaiserSEA , GM Mike McCormack
#163DTDan RalphATL , GM Tom Braatz

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2002Kurt KittnerATL , GM Harold Richardson · Illinois

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