QB · pick 16, First QB at #16 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1991)

QB·pick 16

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #16

Dan McGwire

Drafted by SEA , GM Tom Flores/Behring · San Diego St.

1991 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #16 in NFL history

most recent: EJ Manuel (BUF, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a quarterback at #16 a 4.6% chance in 1991.

Quarterback at #16, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.2% · 2027 model: 5.6%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

#11OTPat HarlowNE , GM Sam Jankovich
#12WRAlvin HarperDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#13WRMike PritchardATL , GM Ken Herock
#14RBLeonard RussellNE , GM Sam Jankovich
#15LBHuey RichardsonPIT , GM Tom Donahoe
#17DTBobby WilsonWAS , GM Charley Casserly
#18DEAlfred WilliamsCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#19CBVinnie ClarkGB , GM Tom Braatz
#20DTKelvin PritchettDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#21RBHarvey WilliamsKC , GM Carl Peterson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2013EJ ManuelBUF , GM Doug Whaley · Florida St.

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