QB · pick 164, First QB at #164 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2002)

QB·pick 164

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #164

Craig Nall

Drafted by GB , GM Mike Sherman · LSU

2002 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #164 in NFL history

most recent: Jaren Hall (MIN, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a quarterback at #164 a 4.0% chance in 2002.

Quarterback at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.3% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#159SAndre LottWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato
#160TERobert RoyalWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato
#161CBOmare LoweMIA , GM Rick Spielman
#162WRFreddie MilonsPHI , GM Andy Reid
#163QBBrandon DomanSF , GM Terry Donahue
#165LBBryan KnightCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#166RBVerron HaynesPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#167LBCourtland BullardLAR , GM Charley Armey
#168CBPete HunterDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#169TERyan HannamSEA , GM Mike Holmgren

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2023Jaren HallMIN , GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah · BYU
2014A.J. McCarronCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Alabama
2006Omar JacobsPIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Bowling Green

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