QB·pick 17
Doug Williams
Drafted by TB · Grambling State
1978 · round unknown
Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.
2
QBs drafted at #17 in NFL history
most recent: Josh Freeman (TB, 2009)
How rare was this draftigami?
Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a quarterback at #17 a 5.2% chance in 1978.
Quarterback at #17, year by year
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 8.1% · 2027 model: 5.3%
Surrounding picks · 1978 draft
- #12LBClay Matthews
- #13OTMike Kenn
- #14WRJohn Jefferson
- #15STSteve Little
- #16CBlair Bush
- #18OGBob Cryder
- #19SKen Greene
- #20RBElvis Peacock
- #21DERandy Holloway
- #22CBRon Johnson
Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick
- 2009Josh Freeman