QB · pick 172, First QB at #172 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1998)

QB·pick 172

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #172

John Dutton

Drafted by MIA , GM Jimmy Johnson · Nevada

1998 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #172 in NFL history

most recent: Josh Booty (SEA, 2001)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a quarterback at #172 a 3.9% chance in 1998.

Quarterback at #172, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.4% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

#167WRJason TuckerCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#168SLee WigginsTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#169WRBobby ShawSEA , GM Mike Allman
#170WRPatrick PalmerWAS , GM Charley Casserly
#171CNathan StrikwerdaMIA , GM Jimmy Johnson
#173CMatt BirkMIN , GM Frank Gilliam
#174WRChris BrazzellNYJ , GM Bill Parcells
#175DTJames CannidaTB , GM Rich McKay
#176RBHarold ShawNE , GM Bobby Grier
#177TETodd PollackNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2001Josh BootySEA , GM Mike Holmgren · LSU

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