Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 176

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #176

Pat Haden

Drafted by LAR · USC

1975 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

2
QBs drafted at #176 in NFL history
most recent: Rusty Smith (TEN, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a quarterback at #176 a 3.9% chance in 1975.

Quarterback at #176, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.5% 1975: 3.9%

Peak: 5.5% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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