QB · pick 18, First QB at #18 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2000)

QB·pick 18

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #18

Chad Pennington

Drafted by NYJ , GM Dick Haley · Marshall

2000 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #18 in NFL history

most recent: Joe Flacco (BAL, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a quarterback at #18 a 3.8% chance in 2000.

Quarterback at #18, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.0% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#13DEJohn AbrahamNYJ , GM Dick Haley
#14TEBubba FranksGB , GM Ron Wolf
#15CBDeltha O'NealDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#16LBJulian PetersonSF , GM Bill Walsh
#17STSebastian JanikowskiLV , GM Al Davis era
#19RBShaun AlexanderSEA , GM Mike Holmgren
#20OTStockar McDougleDET , GM Chuck Schmidt
#21WRSylvester MorrisKC , GM Carl Peterson
#22OTChris McIntoshSEA , GM Mike Holmgren
#23CBRashard AndersonCAR , GM Dom Anile

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2008Joe FlaccoBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · Delaware

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