QB · pick 193, First QB at #193 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2004)

QB·pick 193

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #193

Jim Sorgi

Drafted by IND , GM Bill Polian · Wisconsin

2004 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #193 in NFL history

most recent: Joe Milton (NE, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #193 a 4.6% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #193, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.6% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#188STAndy LeeSF , GM Terry Donahue
#189DTCraig TerrillSEA , GM Mike Holmgren
#190CJosh SewellDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#191RBTroy FlemingTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#192CBDexter WynnPHI , GM Andy Reid
#194TEMatt KranchickPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#195WRJeris McIntyreKC , GM Carl Peterson
#196LBSean TuftsCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#197CDrew CaylorPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#198SKeith LewisSF , GM Terry Donahue

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Joe MiltonNE , GM Eliot Wolf · Tennessee
2006Reggie McNealCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Texas A&M

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