QB · pick 195, First QB at #195 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1989)

QB·pick 195

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #195

Terrence Jones

Drafted by LAC , GM Steve Ortmayer · Tulane

1989 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a quarterback at #195 a 4.4% chance in 1989.

Quarterback at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.6% · 2027 model: 3.9%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

#190LBTracy RogersTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#191DEBenji RolandMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#192QBBrent SnyderCHI , GM Bill Tobin
#193CBChris HaleBUF , GM Bill Polian
#194WRKendal SmithCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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