Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 196

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #196

Randy Hedberg

Drafted by TB · Minot State

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

2
QBs drafted at #196 in NFL history
most recent: Keith Null (LAR, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a quarterback at #196 a 4.9% chance in 1977.

Quarterback at #196, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.9% 1977: 4.9%

Peak: 5.9% · 2027 model: 4.1%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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