QB · pick 2, First QB at #2 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1971)

QB·pick 2

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #2

Archie Manning

Drafted by NO · Ole Miss

1971 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #2 in NFL history

most recent: Jayden Daniels (WAS, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a quarterback at #2 a 15.8% chance in 1971.

Quarterback at #2, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 44.3% · 2027 model: 44.3%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#1QBJim PlunkettNE
#4WRJ. D. HillBUF
#5DERichard HarrisPHI
#6RBJohn RigginsNYJ
#7RBJoe ProfitATL
#8WRFrank LewisPIT

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 11 picks

2024Jayden DanielsWAS , GM Adam Peters · LSU
2023C.J. StroudHOU , GM Nick Caserio · Ohio St.
2021Zach WilsonNYJ , GM Joe Douglas · BYU
2017Mitchell TrubiskyCHI , GM Ryan Pace · North Carolina
2016Carson WentzPHI , GM Howie Roseman · North Dakota St.
2015Marcus MariotaTEN , GM Ruston Webster · Oregon
2012Robert Griffin IIIWAS , GM Bruce Allen · Baylor
1999Donovan McNabbPHI , GM Tom Modrak · Syracuse
1998Ryan LeafLAC , GM Bobby Beathard · Washington St.
1993Rick MirerSEA , GM Tom Flores/Behring · Notre Dame
1973Bert JonesIND · LSU

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