Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 20

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #20

Kenny Pickett

Drafted by PIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Pittsburgh

2022 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a quarterback at #20 a 4.9% chance in 2022.

Quarterback at #20, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.7% 2022: 4.9%

Peak: 7.7% · 2027 model: 4.7%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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