QB · pick 200, First QB at #200 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2003)

QB·pick 200

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #200

Brooks Bollinger

Drafted by NYJ , GM Terry Bradway · Wisconsin

2003 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a quarterback at #200 a 4.8% chance in 2003.

Quarterback at #200, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.9% · 2027 model: 4.1%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#195DEAntonio GarayCLE , GM Butch Davis
#196WRLaTarence DunbarATL , GM Harold Richardson
#197WRArnaz BattleSF , GM Terry Donahue
#198LBCato JuneIND , GM Bill Polian
#199WRWillie PonderNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#201QBKliff KingsburyNE , GM Bill Belichick
#202CBWaine BaconATL , GM Harold Richardson
#203WRKareem KellyNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#204OTDustin RykertLV , GM Al Davis era
#205CBTorrie CoxTB , GM Rich McKay

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart