QB · pick 201, First QB at #201 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2003)

QB·pick 201

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #201

Kliff Kingsbury

Drafted by NE , GM Bill Belichick · Texas Tech

2003 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #201 in NFL history

most recent: Brandon Allen (JAX, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a quarterback at #201 a 4.8% chance in 2003.

Quarterback at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.3% · 2027 model: 4.8%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#196WRLaTarence DunbarATL , GM Harold Richardson
#197WRArnaz BattleSF , GM Terry Donahue
#198LBCato JuneIND , GM Bill Polian
#199WRWillie PonderNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#200QBBrooks BollingerNYJ , GM Terry Bradway
#202CBWaine BaconATL , GM Harold Richardson
#203WRKareem KellyNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#204OTDustin RykertLV , GM Al Davis era
#205CBTorrie CoxTB , GM Rich McKay
#206RBBrock ForseyCHI , GM Jerry Angelo

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2016Brandon AllenJAX , GM David Caldwell · Arkansas
2009Curtis PainterIND , GM Bill Polian · Purdue
2004Jeff SmokerLAR , GM Charley Armey · Michigan St.

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