QB · pick 203, First QB at #203 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1996)

QB·pick 203

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #203

Spence Fischer

Drafted by PIT , GM Tom Donahoe · Duke

1996 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #203 in NFL history

most recent: Tanner Lee (JAX, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a quarterback at #203 a 4.2% chance in 1996.

Quarterback at #203, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.9% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#198RBStephen PittsSF , GM Carmen Policy
#199WRPhillip RileyPHI , GM Tom Modrak
#200DTOrpheus RoyePIT , GM Tom Donahoe
#201TEHayward ClayLAR , GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#202CDusty ZeiglerBUF , GM John Butler
#204WRToderick MaloneNO , GM Bill Kuharich
#205QBMike CawleyIND , GM Bill Tobin
#206DTDevin WymanNE , GM Bill Parcells
#207CBWendell DavisDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#208OGMarco RiveraGB , GM Ron Wolf

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2018Tanner LeeJAX , GM David Caldwell · Nebraska

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