QB · pick 204, First QB at #204 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1997)

QB·pick 204

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #204

Tony Graziani

Drafted by ATL , GM Harold Richardson · Oregon

1997 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #204 in NFL history

most recent: Tony Pike (CAR, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a quarterback at #204 a 4.3% chance in 1997.

Quarterback at #204, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.0% · 2027 model: 4.4%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#199DERod ManuelPIT , GM Tom Donahoe
#200LBRichard HogansCHI , GM Mark Hatley
#201SRicky ParkerCHI , GM Mark Hatley
#202SSteve RosgaNYJ , GM Bill Parcells
#203CBHudhaifa IsmaeliMIA , GM Jimmy Johnson
#205DEChris WardBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#206RBTerry BattleDET , GM Chuck Schmidt
#207QBKoy DetmerPHI , GM Tom Modrak
#208DTMatt KeneleyNYG , GM George Young
#209DTAnthony DeGrateTB , GM Rich McKay

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2010Tony PikeCAR , GM Marty Hurney · Cincinnati

→ see this cell on the full chart