Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 205

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #205

Mike Cawley

Drafted by IND , GM Bill Tobin · James Madison

1996 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

4
QBs drafted at #205 in NFL history
most recent: Jordan Palmer (WAS, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a quarterback at #205 a 4.3% chance in 1996.

Quarterback at #205, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.7% 1996: 4.3%

Peak: 6.7% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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