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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 216

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #216

Seth Burford

Drafted by LAC , GM John Butler · Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo

2002 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a quarterback at #216 a 4.6% chance in 2002.

Quarterback at #216, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.1% 2002: 4.6%

Peak: 6.1% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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