QB · pick 217, First QB at #217 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2004)

QB·pick 217

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #217

Cody Pickett

Drafted by SF , GM Terry Donahue · Washington

2004 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #217 in NFL history

most recent: Tyler Thigpen (MIN, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #217 a 5.0% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #217, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.1% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#212DTEric TaylorPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#213LBDarrell McCloverNYJ , GM Terry Bradway
#214WRJonathan SmithBUF , GM Tom Donahoe
#215CBAlfonso MarshallCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#216WRPatrick CraytonDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#218QBCasey BramletCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#219RBQuincy WilsonATL , GM Rich McKay
#220TEJeff DuganMIN , GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#221OGTony PapeMIA , GM Rick Spielman
#222LBDerrick PopeMIA , GM Rick Spielman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2007Tyler ThigpenMIN , GM Rick Spielman · Coastal Carolina

→ see this cell on the full chart