QB · pick 225, First QB at #225 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2004)

QB·pick 225

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #225

Matt Mauck

Drafted by DEN , GM Mike Shanahan · LSU

2004 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #225 a 5.1% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #225, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.3% · 2027 model: 4.3%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#220TEJeff DuganMIN , GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#221OGTony PapeMIA , GM Rick Spielman
#222LBDerrick PopeMIA , GM Rick Spielman
#223CBJacques ReevesDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#224STDonnie JonesSEA , GM Mike Holmgren
#226DTChristian FerraraSF , GM Terry Donahue
#227OGAdrien ClarkePHI , GM Andy Reid
#228RBCasey CramerTB , GM Bruce Allen
#229STDavid KimballIND , GM Bill Polian
#230DTJared ClaussTEN , GM Floyd Reese

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart