Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 229

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #229

James Kilian

Drafted by KC , GM Carl Peterson · Tulsa

2005 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a quarterback at #229 a 5.4% chance in 2005.

Quarterback at #229, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.3% 2005: 5.4%

Peak: 6.3% · 2027 model: 4.3%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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