QB · pick 230, First QB at #230 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2005)

QB·pick 230

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #230

Matt Cassel

Drafted by NE , GM Bill Belichick · USC

2005 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a quarterback at #230 a 5.4% chance in 2005.

Quarterback at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.4% · 2027 model: 4.4%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#225WRParis WarrenTB , GM Bruce Allen
#226WRLeRon McCoyARI , GM Rod Graves
#227DEKenneth PettwayHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#228DEShaun NuaPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#229QBJames KilianKC , GM Carl Peterson
#231SHamza AbdullahTB , GM Bruce Allen
#232DTJimmy VerdonNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#233DEJonathan FaneneCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#234LBMike SmithBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#235LBCornelius WorthamSEA , GM Tim Ruskell

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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