QB · pick 236, First QB at #236 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2002)

QB·pick 236

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #236

Wes Pate

Drafted by BAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · S.F. Austin

2002 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a quarterback at #236 a 4.7% chance in 2002.

Quarterback at #236, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.5% · 2027 model: 4.4%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#231DTMonsanto PopeDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#232QBJeff KellySEA , GM Mike Holmgren
#233CBTim WansleyTB , GM Rich McKay
#234DEGreg ScottWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato
#235WRRonald CurryLV , GM Al Davis era
#237RBAntwoine WomackNE , GM Bill Belichick
#238DERaheem BrockPHI , GM Andy Reid
#239OGEric HeitmannSF , GM Terry Donahue
#240DECarlos HallTEN , GM Floyd Reese
#241RBLeonard HenryMIA , GM Rick Spielman

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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