QB · pick 238, First QB at #238 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1996)

QB·pick 238

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #238

Jon Stark

Drafted by BAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · Trinity (IL)

1996 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a quarterback at #238 a 4.2% chance in 1996.

Quarterback at #238, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.5% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#233DTMarcus KeyesCHI , GM Rod Graves
#234DEKerry HicksCAR , GM Bill Polian
#235RBL.T. LevineDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#236STBrian GragertDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#237LBDan BrandenburgBUF , GM John Butler
#239TESean ManuelSF , GM Carmen Policy
#240QBKyle WachholtzGB , GM Ron Wolf
#241CJeff SmithKC , GM Carl Peterson
#242LBCarlos EmmonsPIT , GM Tom Donahoe
#243RBRyan WoodDAL , GM Jerry Jones

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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