QB · pick 24, First QB at #24 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1983)

QB·pick 24

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #24

Ken O'Brien

Drafted by NYJ , GM Jim Kensil · UC Davis

1983 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #24 in NFL history

most recent: Aaron Rodgers (GB, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a quarterback at #24 a 4.7% chance in 1983.

Quarterback at #24, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.4% · 2027 model: 4.1%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#19SJoey BrownerMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#20RBGary AndersonLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#21DTGabe RiveraPIT , GM Dick Haley
#22CBGill ByrdLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#23DEJim JeffcoatDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#25CDave RimingtonCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#26CDon MosebarLV , GM Al Davis
#27QBDan MarinoMIA , GM Don Shula
#28CBDarrell GreenWAS , GM Bobby Beathard
#29LBVernon MaxwellIND , GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2005Aaron RodgersGB , GM Ted Thompson · California
1991Todd MarinovichLV , GM Al Davis · USC

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