Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 243

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #243

B.J. Coleman

Drafted by GB , GM Ted Thompson · Chattanooga

2012 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a quarterback at #243 a 4.9% chance in 2012.

Quarterback at #243, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.3% 2012: 4.9%

Peak: 6.3% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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