QB · pick 248, First QB at #248 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2004)

QB·pick 248

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #248

B.J. Symons

Drafted by HOU , GM Charley Casserly · Texas Tech

2004 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #248 a 5.4% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #248, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.8% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#243CDominic FurioPHI , GM Andy Reid
#244WRDerek AbneyBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#245TECourtney AndersonLV , GM Al Davis era
#246OGBrian RimpfBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#247RBBrandon MireeDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#249DEBobby McCrayJAX , GM James Harris
#250QBBradlee Van PeltDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#251OGScott WellsGB , GM Mike Sherman
#252CBLenny WilliamsTB , GM Bruce Allen
#253DEIsaac HiltonNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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