Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 32

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #32

Mike Elkins

Drafted by KC , GM Carl Peterson · Wake Forest

1989 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

5
QBs drafted at #32 in NFL history
most recent: Lamar Jackson (BAL, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a quarterback at #32 a 4.1% chance in 1989.

Quarterback at #32, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.8% 1989: 4.1%

Peak: 6.8% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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