QB · pick 34, First QB at #34 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1991)

QB·pick 34

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #34

Browning Nagle

Drafted by NYJ , GM Dick Steinberg · Louisville

1991 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a quarterback at #34 a 4.2% chance in 1991.

Quarterback at #34, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.7% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

#29OGEd KingCLE , GM Bill Belichick
#30TEReggie JohnsonDEN , GM John Beake
#31LBRoman PhiferLAR , GM John Shaw
#32DEMike JonesARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#33QBBrett FavreATL , GM Ken Herock
#35DTEsera TuaoloGB , GM Tom Braatz
#36DTGeorge ThorntonLAC , GM Bobby Beathard
#37LBDixon EdwardsDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#38CBDarryll LewisTEN , GM Mike Holovak
#39RBEric BieniemyLAC , GM Bobby Beathard

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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