Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 35

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #35

Andy Dalton

Drafted by CIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · TCU

2011 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a quarterback at #35 a 3.7% chance in 2011.

Quarterback at #35, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.6% 2011: 3.7%

Peak: 6.6% · 2027 model: 3.4%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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