QB · pick 38, First QB at #38 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1984)

QB·pick 38

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #38

Boomer Esiason

Drafted by CIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Maryland

1984 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a quarterback at #38 a 4.5% chance in 1984.

Quarterback at #38, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.5% · 2027 model: 3.1%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#33LBMike GuendlingLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer
#34LBScott RadecicKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#35DEBlaise WinterIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#36LBThomas BensonATL , GM Tom Braatz
#37CJim SweeneyNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#39TEGlenn DennisonNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#40CBVictor ScottDAL , GM Tex Schramm
#41WREric RichardsonBUF , GM Stew Barber
#42DEJumpy GeathersNO , GM Ken Meyer/staff
#43LBEd WilliamsNE , GM Patrick Sullivan

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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