Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 4

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #4

Bob Griese

Drafted by MIA · Purdue

1967 · earliest year in the data window · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

4
QBs drafted at #4 in NFL history
most recent: Anthony Richardson (IND, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score , the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Quarterback at #4, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%24.8%

Peak: 24.8% · 2027 model: 24.5%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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