Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 45

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #45

Gary Keithley

Drafted by ARI · UTEP

1973 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

2
QBs drafted at #45 in NFL history
most recent: Todd Collins (BUF, 1995)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a quarterback at #45 a 4.8% chance in 1973.

Quarterback at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.2% 1973: 4.8%

Peak: 6.2% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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