QB · pick 51, First QB at #51 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (1970)

QB·pick 51

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #51

Bill Cappleman

Drafted by MIN · Florida State

1970 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #51 in NFL history

most recent: Christian Hackenberg (NYJ, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a quarterback at #51 a 5.5% chance in 1970.

Quarterback at #51, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.0% · 2027 model: 3.1%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

#46WRRich CasterNYJ
#47DTJerry SherkCLE
#48RBJohn IsenbargerSF
#49WRMargene AdkinsDAL
#50TETed KoyLV
#52LBClyde WernerKC
#53CBMel BlountPIT
#54WRGeorge FarmerCHI
#55CBTim FoleyMIA
#56LBMike BallouNE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2016Christian HackenbergNYJ , GM Mike Maccagnan · Penn St.
1989Billy Joe TolliverLAC , GM Steve Ortmayer · Texas Tech
1978Guy BenjaminMIA · Stanford

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