QB · pick 8, First QB at #8 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping. (2011)

QB·pick 8

FIRST QB IN OUR WINDOW AT #8

Jake Locker

Drafted by TEN , GM Ruston Webster · Washington

2011 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, QB grouping.

QBs drafted at #8 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Penix (ATL, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a quarterback at #8 a 6.3% chance in 2011.

Quarterback at #8, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.5% · 2027 model: 11.9%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#3DTMarcell DareusBUF , GM Buddy Nix
#4WRA.J. GreenCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#5CBPatrick PetersonARI , GM Rod Graves
#6WRJulio JonesATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff
#7DEAldon SmithSF , GM Trent Baalke
#9OTTyron SmithDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#10QBBlaine GabbertJAX , GM Gene Smith
#11DEJ.J. WattHOU , GM Rick Smith
#12QBChristian PonderMIN , GM Rick Spielman
#13DTNick FairleyDET , GM Martin Mayhew

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Michael PenixATL , GM Terry Fontenot · Washington
2012Ryan TannehillMIA , GM Jeff Ireland · Texas A&M

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